Germany's five leading authoritative economic research institutes have released a joint economic forecast report for the autumn.

date
25/09/2025
On the local time of the 25th, the five authoritative economic research institutes in Germany submitted their joint economic forecast report for the autumn to the federal government. They believe that after stagnation in the first half of this year, the German economy will experience a certain recovery in the next two years, but overall it still appears fragile. The report predicts that Germany's GDP will grow by 0.2% in 2025, and under the government's expansionary fiscal policy support, the growth rates in 2026 and 2027 will reach 1.3% and 1.4% respectively. Compared to the spring forecast, the overall assessment remains basically unchanged. The research institutions point out that although the government has increased investments in areas such as national defense, infrastructure, and climate protection, the related funds are difficult to play a timely role due to long planning and approval cycles. At the same time, high energy and labor costs, shortages of technical workers, and declining international competitiveness continue to limit the economic potential of Germany. Analysis suggests that in the future, the recovery of the German economy will mainly rely on the domestic market, with the service industry, especially the public sector, growing rapidly, while manufacturing and exports remain weak.