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The research report from Citic Securities points out that starting from 2011, factors such as the relative advantage of the US economy, interest rate differentials, and the strong attractiveness of US dollar assets have pushed the US dollar into a strong cycle lasting more than a decade. However, starting from the second half of 2022, the narrowing gap in monetary policies between the US and other countries has pushed the US dollar into a new weak cycle. Considering factors such as the monetary policy gap in the US and the slowdown in US economic momentum, it is expected that the weakness of the US dollar will continue at least until the end of 2025.
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