The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 83.5%.

date
09/05/2025
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in June is 83.5%, with a 16.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. In July, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates is 29.1%, with a 60.1% cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, and a 10.7% cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut.