The short end of US Treasury bonds fell further, and market expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve decreased.

date
09/05/2025
As traders continue to reduce their bets on the Fed cutting interest rates, yields on short-end U.S. Treasury bonds further decline, causing the yield curve to flatten sharply. At the same time, U.S. stocks are strengthening, with Donald Trump announcing a trade agreement with the UK. Overnight index swaps linked to the Fed meeting continue to be supported by buying, reflecting a decrease in market expectations for the size of rate cuts this year. Currently, the market is only expecting a 4 basis point rate cut at the June policy meeting, with a total of 68 basis points of rate cuts expected for the year.