The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 92.8%.

date
23/10/2026
According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by October is 92.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 7.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by December is 19.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 74.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 5.7%.