The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 70.1%.

date
30/06/2026
According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in July is 70.1%, with a 29.9% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. In September, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates is 37.2%, with a 48.8% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike and a 14.1% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.