The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is 96%.

date
06/05/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in June is 96%, with a 4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in July is 88.8%, with a 10.9% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 0.3% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in September is 74.6%, with a 9% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 0.2% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.