The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 79.5%.

date
07/10/2026
According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by October is 79.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 20.5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by December is 15.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 68%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 16.5%.
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