The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 48%.

According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until September is 52%, while the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points is 48%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until October is 38.7%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 49%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 12.2%.