The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in July is 84.5%.

date
21/07/2026
According to CME "Fed Watch," the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 84.5%, with a probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike at 15.5%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in September is 36%, with a probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike at 55.1% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike at 8.9%.