The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 71.7%.

date
02/07/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 71.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point increase is 28.3%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged until September is 36.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point increase is 49.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point increase is 14.1%.