The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in July is 90.2%.

date
04/06/2026
According to the CME "Fed Watch" tool, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 98.4%, with a 1.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 90.2%, with an 8.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike and a 1.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.