The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%.

date
10/04/2026
According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 98.4%. The probability of the Fed lowering rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 2.1%, with a 96.3% probability of maintaining rates, and a 1.5% probability of raising rates by a total of 25 basis points.