After the release of strong non-farm payrolls data, US government bonds fell during the shortened trading session.

date
04/04/2026
After the release of March employment data in the United States that exceeded economists' expectations, US Treasury bonds fell during the shortened trading session. Short-term Treasury bonds led the decline, closing up about 4 basis points, as short-term interest rate contracts shifted to price in lower probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut this year or next. Overnight index swap contracts linked to future Fed rate decisions almost completely wiped out all bets on a rate cut this year before the data was released, with the market pricing in about 4 basis points of easing space. For 2027, the market still priced in about 22 basis points of easing, a decrease of about 6 basis points from Thursday's close.