The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in April is 99.5%.

date
03/04/2026
According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%. The probability of the Fed lowering rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 6.0%, with a 93.5% probability of keeping rates unchanged and a 0.5% probability of raising rates by 25 basis points.