Middle East conflict or rising inflation, oil prices rising puts pressure on Trump's re-election.

Experts warn against prematurely generating feelings of comfort. The bombings by the United States and Israel against Iran, as well as Iran's retaliatory actions in the region, have triggered a series of dangerous situations posing a significant threat to the global economic outlook. The core concern currently lies in the fate of Middle Eastern energy. The region supplies 30% of the world's oil and 17% of its natural gas. Once the supply is disrupted, it will almost certainly impact the largest importing countries in East Asia and Europe. While the United States appears to be relatively secure due to being the world's largest oil producer and the largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, continual increases in oil and gas prices could benefit American fossil fuel companies but most likely result in higher prices for American consumers, leading to increased overall inflation. This is why many experts believe that Trump will seek to end the conflict quickly to prevent further increases in energy prices. One of the reasons he won the election is partly due to public dissatisfaction with food prices. If gasoline prices rise before the November congressional elections, it could bring political risks.