The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 92.2%

date
17/02/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 7.8%, while the probability of maintaining interest rates is 92.2%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by April is 25.3%, with a 73.1% probability of maintaining interest rates and a 1.6% probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by June is 52.6%.