The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 86.6%.

date
30/01/2026
CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 13.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 86.6%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a total of 25 basis points by April is 25.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 72.2%, and the probability of the Fed cutting rates by a total of 50 basis points is 2.2%.