Market analysis: The threshold for the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates in February is not considered high.

date
23/01/2026
The threshold for the Australian central bank to raise interest rates in February is not high. Citigroup economist Faraz Syed said that a trimmed mean inflation rate of 0.8% for the quarter could be enough to trigger a rate hike. Citigroup predicts this figure to be 0.9%, but sees a risk of the trimmed mean inflation rate being recorded at 0.8%. He said that despite the presence of disruptive information, strong overall inflation and continuously rising trimmed mean inflation suggest that if the trimmed mean inflation rate is 0.9% or even 0.8%, the Australian central bank will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in February.