CIO information: There is a high probability of a slight decrease in the retail price of this round of refined oil, but the extent may be limited.

According to Zhuochuang Information analyst Wang Luqing, since the beginning of this pricing cycle, international crude oil has shown wide-ranging volatility. As a result, the domestic reference crude oil change rate has fluctuated within the negative range, with a decrease of 55 yuan per ton calculated after the 9th working day, slightly higher than the red line of a 50 yuan per ton adjustment for refined oil. Considering that there is only one working day left before the pricing window closes, and crude oil may continue to fluctuate at low levels, it is expected that the probability of a downward adjustment in domestic retail price limit for refined oil is higher by midnight on Monday next week.