British study: Climate change increases the probability of super hurricanes occurrence.

date
07/11/2025
A recent study released by the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment at Imperial College London shows that climate change has increased the likelihood of extreme hurricanes like "Melissa" by about four times compared to pre-industrial levels. "Melissa" is one of the most intense hurricanes to impact the Caribbean region in recent years, making landfall on the southwest coast of Jamaica as a Category 5 hurricane on October 28 and leaving the Caribbean region on October 31 with maximum sustained winds of nearly 300 kilometers per hour. According to estimates from the American company AccuWeather, the economic losses caused by "Melissa" in the Caribbean region amount to between 48 to 52 billion US dollars. Analysis using Imperial College London's storm model IRIS by researchers has shown that compared to pre-industrial levels, climate change has increased the maximum wind speed at landfall for Hurricane "Melissa" by 5.3 meters per second, a 7% increase. The increase in hurricane intensity has led to an estimated 34% increase in economic losses, indicating that even a slight increase in wind speed can result in a significant increase in destructiveness and economic losses.