How to deal with the seasonal headwinds in the U.S. stock market? Oppenheimer points out key support levels and ten "selected stocks"

date
14:50 17/03/2026
avatar
GMT Eight
Oppenheimer analysts stated in their latest report that they maintain a cautious optimism on the current market but have a selective approach to individual stocks.
Oppenheimer analysts expressed a cautious optimism towards the current market in their latest report, emphasizing a selective stock-picking approach. The firm pointed out that the ongoing four-year bull market that began in 2022 has surpassed historical average levels in terms of both gains and duration. The analysts also cited historical data indicating that the period from May to September during midterm election years typically sees weaker market performance, potentially bringing seasonal headwinds to the market. Despite the mixed factors at play, Oppenheimer still sees an overall slightly positive trend. From a technical perspective, the S&P 500 index has retraced about 5% from its January high and is currently approaching the key support level of 6600 points, coinciding with the 200-day moving average. It is worth noting that last week's intraday low of 6636 points was accompanied by the VIX fear index soaring to 35, prompting the firm to closely monitor whether the index will retest this level or further decline into the 6490-6520 point range. On a tactical level, Oppenheimer is monitoring changes in the VIX index to gauge whether selling pressure is easing, which could signal a technical rebound. The analysts are particularly focused on the occurrence of a "bullish divergence" pattern, where the VIX index shows relatively moderate readings while the market tests or sets new lows, often signaling a trend reversal. However, Oppenheimer also cautioned, "Considering the maturing nature of the current bull market cycle and the upcoming seasonal headwinds, we will continue to maintain a selective positioning strategy." Below are Oppenheimer's top buy and sell recommendations for various sectors of the US stock market: Energy sector: Buy Valero Energy Corporation (VLO.US), Sell Enerflex (EFXT.US) Materials sector: Buy Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM.US), Sell PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG.US) Industrials sector: Buy Johnson Controls International plc (JCI.US), Sell Otis (OTIS.US) Consumer Staples sector: Buy Costco (COST.US), Sell Mondelez International (MDLZ.US) Healthcare sector: Buy Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD.US), Sell Cigna (CI.US) Financials sector: Buy Citigroup (C.US), Sell Aon Plc Class A Insurance (AON.US) Real Estate Investment Trusts: Buy Digital Realty Trust (DLR.US), Sell SBA Communications Corp. Class A (SBAC.US) Technology sector: Buy Applied Materials (AMAT.US), Sell Fair Isaac (FICO.US) Communications Services sector: Buy Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG.US), Sell Walt Disney Company (DIS.US) Utilities sector: Buy Entergy Corporation (ETR.US), Sell Constellation Energy (CEG.US)