Societe Generale previews the U.S. midterm elections: Democrats are expected to win the House, while the Senate race is too close to call and the outcome is more important.

Zhito Finance APP has learned that, according to Societe Generale's latest election model, the Democratic Party is expected to win control of the House of Representatives in November's midterm elections, while the battle for the Senate remains evenly matched and difficult to predict. The model suggests that the probability of the Democratic Party winning both the Senate and the House is 44%; the probability of the Democratic Party controlling the House and the Republican Party controlling the Senate is 43.3%; the remaining probability mainly reflects the possibility that the Republican Party maintains full control of both chambers.